• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint

An Option Has Intrinsic Value

In stock investing, you can choose to buy options – basically borrowing someone else’s stock and paying for the option to either buy or sell the stock at a given price. That’s a very simple explanation, but the point is there is value in having the option. The same is true in fantasy football.

I recently heard a radio host dissecting a league’s draft. He was admonishing another host for drafting a kicker in the 15th round, instead of the 16th, and final, round. We’re used to hearing people reject the idea of drafting kickers early, but objecting to a kicker in the 15th round completely ignores the value of the option.

Whether you’re picking in the 1st round or the 15th round, there is value in being the first person to pick a player at a given position. After all, fantasy football is a game of prediction – or guessing – but at least you get to make the first guess.

There have been plenty of studies showing that a shockingly high number of first-round picks are busts – but we still have consensus around which players are generally valued in what order in the first round. This year, everyone “knows” Jonathan Taylor is the number one pick. And, guess what, when forced to guess, don’t we all just “know” certain kickers are better than others? Whether it’s the kicker’s actual skill or the offense they’re attached to, we can make our best guess (just like we do at every other position) at who will be the top kicker in a given year.

Let’s look at ESPN’s consensus 2022 kicker rankings.

This is just the top 6 but we can clearly see a preference when forced to guess. We see good, proven kickers attached to projected good offenses ranked at the top.

We’ve already taken a deep dive into why top kickers are way more valuable than you think. We’re not here to recap that article, but if getting a top kicker is valuable, then there is also value in getting the chance to make the first guess at who will be the top kicker!

Recent News

Cowboys name Brian Schottenheimer offensive coordinator
The Cowboys officially have a new offensive coordinator. Dallas named Brian Schottenheimer to the position, the club announced on Saturday. Schottenheimer had been an offensive consultant for the Cowboys in 2022. “I am very happy to have Brian take on this key role with our team, head coach Mike McCarthy said in a statement. He [more]
(Feb 4 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Panthers reportedly request another interview with Broncos DC Ejiro Evero
After interviewing him for their head coaching vacancy, the Panthers have now requested to speak with Ejiro Evero about their defensive coordinator job.
(Feb 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Dallas Cowboys hire Brian Schottenheimer as offensive coordinator
Brian Schottenheimer will be the new offensive coordinator of the Dallas Cowboys.
(Feb 4 -- FOX Sports)

Aaron Glenn head coaching candidacy update
Lions DC Aaron Glenn remains a strong candidate to become the next head coach of the Colts or Cardinals
(Feb 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Panthers Request DC Interview With Ejiro Evero; Latest On Broncos Candidacy
Broncos defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero continues to draw considerable interest around the NFL despite the uncertainty regarding his future in Denver. In addition to the Vikings, the Panthers are interested in hiring him via a lateral move. Carolina has requested a DC interview with Evero, reports NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero (on Twitter). That news comes less than […]
(Feb 4 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Recent Posts