• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint

An Option Has Intrinsic Value

In stock investing, you can choose to buy options – basically borrowing someone else’s stock and paying for the option to either buy or sell the stock at a given price. That’s a very simple explanation, but the point is there is value in having the option. The same is true in fantasy football.

I recently heard a radio host dissecting a league’s draft. He was admonishing another host for drafting a kicker in the 15th round, instead of the 16th, and final, round. We’re used to hearing people reject the idea of drafting kickers early, but objecting to a kicker in the 15th round completely ignores the value of the option.

Whether you’re picking in the 1st round or the 15th round, there is value in being the first person to pick a player at a given position. After all, fantasy football is a game of prediction – or guessing – but at least you get to make the first guess.

There have been plenty of studies showing that a shockingly high number of first-round picks are busts – but we still have consensus around which players are generally valued in what order in the first round. This year, everyone “knows” Jonathan Taylor is the number one pick. And, guess what, when forced to guess, don’t we all just “know” certain kickers are better than others? Whether it’s the kicker’s actual skill or the offense they’re attached to, we can make our best guess (just like we do at every other position) at who will be the top kicker in a given year.

Let’s look at ESPN’s consensus 2022 kicker rankings.

This is just the top 6 but we can clearly see a preference when forced to guess. We see good, proven kickers attached to projected good offenses ranked at the top.

We’ve already taken a deep dive into why top kickers are way more valuable than you think. We’re not here to recap that article, but if getting a top kicker is valuable, then there is also value in getting the chance to make the first guess at who will be the top kicker!

Recent News

Norma Hunt, Chiefs Matriarch and Only Woman to Attend Every Super Bowl, Dies at 85
A teacher by trade, Hunt saw three Kansas City titles over half a century.
(Jun 4 -- Sports Illustrated)

Latest On Sale Of Commanders
We had a couple of recent updates to the situation around the sale of the Commanders from Dan Snyder to Josh Harris this week. We were provided with a peek into the thoughts of the owners on one of the factors holding up the sale, as well as an update into the Brian Davis lawsuit. […]
(Jun 4 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Steelers TE Connor Heyward shows his confidence: There is not a linebacker in this league who can cover me. I m serious
Steelers TE Connor Heyward says no linebacker in the league can cover him.
(Jun 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Kansas City Chiefs matriarch Norma Hunt dies at 85
Norma Hunt, mother of Kansas City Chiefs chairman and CEO Clark Hunt and wife of the late Lamar Hunt, had attended every Super Bowl.       
(Jun 4 -- USA Today)

Duane Brown seems hesitant about possibly moving to right tackle
Jets tackle Duane Brown s rotator-cuff surgery could give Mekhi Becton an opportunity to flip from the right side to the left. That could result in Brown going from left to right. Brown seems to be a little hesitant about making the move. It s not something I ve practiced over the years, Brown said recently, via Rich [more]
(Jun 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Recent Posts