• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint
Draft

Not all Fantasy Points are Created Equal

If you get to choose between a QB who is projected to score 300 points and a RB who is projected to score 300 points, who do you pick?

Well, it depends on what the other players at the position are projected to score. That’s the idea behind value-based drafting. It gives you a way to fairly compare players at different positions.

So, in the above case, if the QB is projected to score 50 points higher than other QBs but the RB is only expected to score 40 points higher than other RBs, then the QB is actually more valuable to you, even though they’re both projected to score 300 points.

Traditional value-based drafting uses the value-over-replacement concept, meaning it compares a player’s projected fantasy points to the projected fantasy points of the first player not being drafted as a starter. That’s a good (and arbitrary) way to rank players at a certain position, but it doesn’t really help your fantasy football draft strategy.

Do you really care what that replacement player is projected to do?

It doesn’t matter whether Aaron Rodgers is projected to score 300 points more than the replacement player or whether he’s projected to score 50 points more than the replacement player because you are not playing against a team full of replacement players! Over the course of the season, you are playing against a team full of the average starters at each position. We only care how Aaron Rodgers is expected to perform against the average starting QB! If each of your players outscores the average starter more often than not you’re going to come out ahead of your opponent and will find yourself in the fantasy playoffs.

Our matrix cheat sheet applies this logic so you can see who you should really be targeting. You already know to select high-end RBs and WRs, but top-tier QBs and TEs give you just as much advantage… and you don’t have to use a top pick on them!

Recent News

Steelers TE Connor Heyward shows his confidence: There is not a linebacker in this league who can cover me. I m serious
Steelers TE Connor Heyward says no linebacker in the league can cover him.
(Jun 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Kansas City Chiefs matriarch Norma Hunt dies at 85
Norma Hunt, mother of Kansas City Chiefs chairman and CEO Clark Hunt and wife of the late Lamar Hunt, had attended every Super Bowl.       
(Jun 4 -- USA Today)

Duane Brown seems hesitant about possibly moving to right tackle
Jets tackle Duane Brown s rotator-cuff surgery could give Mekhi Becton an opportunity to flip from the right side to the left. That could result in Brown going from left to right. Brown seems to be a little hesitant about making the move. It s not something I ve practiced over the years, Brown said recently, via Rich [more]
(Jun 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

Chiefs mourn Norma Hunt, wife of team founder Lamar Hunt
Norma Hunt, the wife of Chiefs founder, has passed. She was 85. The Chiefs announced Norma Hunt s passing on Sunday evening. She attended all 57 Super Bowls, staring with the game that pitted the Chiefs against the Packers even before the name Super Bowl had been coined. The name ultimately was Lamar s idea. Lamar died [more]
(Jun 4 -- Yahoo Sports)

BASKETBALL'S BEST
NBA champs by year      
(Jun 4 -- USA Today)

Recent Posts