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NFL Best Bets Week 12

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

23-9-1 Against the Spread

Week 12 Starting Bankroll $345.25
TEN +8.5 -110 @ $10 
PIT -3.5 -110 @ $20 
TB -6 -110 @ $20 
^parlay +595 @ $10

previous Week 11 (Bankroll $366.32)
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10 loss
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10 loss
^parlay +602 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Source: 49ers' Jennings likely; LT Williams a GTD
The Niners are expected to have wide receiver Jauan Jennings available for Sunday's game against the Saints, while left tackle Trent Williams will test his injured left knee in warmups to see if he can play, a source told ESPN.
(Sep 14 -- ESPN)

Why Super Bowl revenge looks a long shot for Chiefs
BBC Sport columnist Phoebe Schecter explains why she struggles to see the Kansas City Chiefs winning their Super Bowl rematch with the Philadelphia Eagles in week two of the NFL season.
(Sep 14 -- Yahoo Sports)

NFL Week 2 Injury Report, Inactives: Brock Purdy Out, Malik Nabers Set To Play
Get the latest injury news on the biggest names in the NFL ahead of Week 2.
(Sep 14 -- FOX Sports)

Jauan Jennings: Optimism for Sunday
Jennings, who is questionable to play Sunday against New Orleans due to a shoulder injury, is considered a game-time decision, though there is "optimism he goes," Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
(Sep 13 -- Rotowire)

Quinshon Judkins: May eventually become starter
Judkins (personal), who is officially questionable for Sunday's matchup against Baltimore, will likely have his snaps monitored in his first NFL game but is seen by the Browns as the team's eventual starter, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
(Sep 13 -- Rotowire)

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