NFL Best Bets

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

YTD vs Spread 1-1-0 (Last Year vs Spread 31-23-0)

Starting bankroll $192.52
Week 2 Bets (as of 11am 9/11 on DK)
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20
NE +2 @ -120 $20
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20
parlay ^ @ +589 $9

Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss