NFL Best Bets Week 7

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.


YTD vs Spread 11-11-0 $200 starting budget

Current bankroll $205.76
Week 7 Bets (as of 8:30 pm 10/15 on DK)
GB -6.5 @ -115 $20 
CHI -4.5 @ -115 $20
ATL +2.5 @ -110 $20
MIA +2.5 @ -110 $20 
IND ml @ +110 $20
NE -6.5 @ -112 $20
parlay ^ @ +4963 $3 

Week 6 Bets
NE -3.5 @ -105 $20 win + $19.05
LV – 4.5 @ -108 $20 win + $18.52
NYJ +7.5 @ -115 $20 win + $17.39
DET +2.5 @ -110 $20 loss
PHI -7 @ -120 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +2360 $4 loss

Week 5 Bets
MIA ML @ -120 $20 loss
MIN -4.5 @ -105 $20 loss
NYJ +2.5 @ -108 $20 loss
NYG +2.5 @ -118 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +1173 $6 loss

Week 4 Bets
NO +15.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
IND +3.5 @ -105 $20 loss
NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20 loss
GB -7 @ -105 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +1353 $6 loss

Week 3 Bets
MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
NYJ +7 @ -105 $20 win +$19.04
NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss
CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94
parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss

Week 2 Bets
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05
NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04

Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss