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Tipsy Picks

Tipsy Picks Week 7

Raise a glass to Jonny Danger and his weekly DraftKings sleepers!

Tipsy Picks Week 7

Extreme Values. Miracle dependent plays. One-off shots off the beaten path!

You’ll need a few beers or a stiff pour of bourbon to stomach these picks…

Let’s crack that beer and dive right in!


Tipsy QBs

Jimmy Grapes $5,300 vs NE (0.90%)

The Patriots Defense has been pretty stout. They aren’t giving up a ton of fantasy points really. But that could change this week. NE has been prone to turnovers, Cam isn’t really a clock-killing QB and Garoppolo has another week with a healthy team to throw to. Kittle is a BEAST, Deebo and Aiyuk can break one anytime and with Mostert out they probably will be throwing a bit more than normal. Look, he doesn’t have the upside of the top-end guys but if he goes off you will be on an island by yourself and saving $1000-$2700 versus the top- and middle -ier QBs and that is valuable.

Kyle Allen $5,200 vs DAL (1.2%)

Ok he’s trash. I get it. But Dallas. Enough said. Scary Terry is extremely talented, Inman is capable, McKissic is a legit threat out of the backfield. Washington’s front defensive line is good enough to keep them in the game. He’s $2,800 cheaper than Wilson… that’s a lot of dough to spread around elsewhere.

Derek Carr $5,400 vs TB (?%)

Pair him up with Waller and feel good. Carr has between 4x and 5x his value 3 of 5 games. He’s at home after a bye week with a team in Tampa that has been on fire. This game got flexed into the main slate so ownership isn’t out yet but I can’t imagine him more than around 1.5-2% owned.

Under-owned Favorites

Ryan Tannehill

Big Ben

Josh Allen

All three of these guys around 3% are way to low owned. I could make a case for each one as a pivot off the top end guys.


Tipsy RBs

JD McKissic $4,600 vs DAL (1.0%)

McKissic fits the season’s game script far more than Gibson. Even without Dak this Cowboys Offense can score and if WAS wants to keep in the game a bunch of check downs and wheel routes are coming JD’s way.

Chase Edmonds $4,900 vs SEA (2.4%)

Yes, Drake finally had a huge game. Even more reason that I like Chase. He had a low outlier of a game in targets but that will turn around against maybe the best offense in the league that they will have to keep pace with. I’m on the Edmonds train to out score Drake again.

David Johnson $5,300 vs ATL (6.2%)

I want to believe DJ has a big game left in his tank. Packers clear weakness is against the RB and you are getting 20 touches+targets from a guy under 6k and under-owned based on opportunity. Tipsy? Not really but I’m all in one last time.


Tipsy WRs

Jamison Crowder $5,900 vs BUF (1.0%)

Jets are terrible, I know, but he is getting 13,10,10,13 targets in his 4 games. How can you not look at a guy with that usage even in a terrible spot on a terrible team for under 6k and 1% owned.

Keelan Cole $4,700 @ LAC (0.9%)

Seems he has taken over the 2nd receiver spot in a game I like to go over. He has 3.5-4x scoring upside and will be severely underlooked.

Jalen Guyton $3,200 vs JAX (0.1%)

If you just can’t get off some big names and need that deep salary relief you can look at the homerun-shot of a deep threat for the Chargers. He only has 6 catches on the year but for 174 yards and 2 TD’s…


Salary Saving TEs


Greg Olsen- $3,600 an ignored part of a high flying offense

Chris Herndon- $3,000 plenty of garbage time to go around

Logan Thomas- $3,500 I like playing against Dallas


Tipsy Defense

I’m, paying up at DEF this week, but if you want to go low…

Atlanta $2,500 vs Lions can the Lions really pull off back-to-back competent games? I think not.

Recent News

Bears Get Division Win Over Vikings 12-10 in an Abysmal Game
(Nov 28 -- Sports Illustrated)

Joshua Dobbs: O'Connell considering QB change
Minnesota head coach Kevin O'Connell said the team will evaluate Dobbs' four-game performance at quarterback before naming a starter for Week 14 after a bye week, Ben Goessling of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
(Nov 28 -- Rotowire)

Schrock's Bears Report Card: Grading Justin Fields, offense, defense in win vs. Vikings
The Bears' defense aced their primetime test while Justin Fields and the offense took until winning time to earn a passing grade.
(Nov 28 -- Yahoo Sports)

Roschon Johnson sees huge uptick in usage
Though Week 12's showdown between the Bears and Vikings didn't provide much entertainment, it did shed some light on Chicago's backfield situation. Rookie RB Roschon Johnson ended Monday night with a season-high 75 scrimmage yards on 15 touches. He played on 74.6% of the team's snaps, including all 13 third-down situations. Before this contest, Johnson had never played on over 50% of the Bears' offensive snaps and had just two games with more than 10 touches. His teammate and typical starter Khalil Herbert took a back seat and only played on 15 snaps in the game, seeing 6 carries and 2 catches for a combined 38 yards. Is this a symptom of Herbert having not fully recovered from the ankle injury that kept him out for several games, or is this a changing of the guard? Who knows; that's merely speculative. Still, the results are still somewhat staggering. The Bears are set to go on bye this coming week, though fantasy managers in deeper leagues should entertain adding Johnson off the waiver wire if there's a bench spot to spare.
(Nov 28 -- Draft Sharks)

Questionable non-call of intentional grounding fueled Bears' final drive
It's one thing for officiating to be less-than-perfect.
(Nov 28 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

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