NHL DFS: 10/28/22

We get a breather tonight with a small 5 game main slate on DraftKings. We now have almost 3 weeks of data to use now and trends are starting to appear.  For tonight I am going to switch up my early-season model and bring implied goals to the mix. Scoring is way up in the NHL this season and we have enough data to make this relevant. 

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Top Teams to Target

Boston Bruins (Implied Goals 3.72) – The Bruins lead the league in goals (34) and are 5th in Shots on Goal.  Brad Marchand returned last night and had 2 goals and 1 assist. David Pastrnak has 6 goals and 9 assists in 8 games. 

Pittsburgh Penguins (Implied Goals 3.72) – The Pens are 10th in the league in Shots on Goal and tied for 3rd for most goals (30). Crosby leads the team with 11 points in 7 games.  They face a floundering Vancouver team who is allowing 4.5 goals per game.

Winnipeg Jets (Implied Goals 3.71) – The Jets have been a mixed bag so far this year but their top line is scoring in buckets.  They face the lowly Coyotes who are allowing almost 5 goals per game (4.8). Winnipeg also offers salary relief to top lines on Boston and Pittsburgh.

Favorite Lines

WPG 1:Kyle Connor-Mark Scheifele-Mason Appleton
BOS 2:Taylor Hall-Pavel Zacha-David Pastrnak
PIT 1:Rickard Rakell-Sidney Crosby-Bryan Rust
BOS 1:Brad Marchand-Patrice Bergeron-Jake DeBrusk
CLS 1:Johnny Gaudreau-Jack Roslovic-Patrik Laine

Value Lines

WPG 2:Cole Perfetti-Pierre-Luc Dubois-Blake Wheeler
PIT 2: Danton Heinen-Evgeni Malkin-Jeff Carter
CAR 2: Andrei Svechnikov-Jesperi Kotkaniemi-Martin Necas

Player List

This list contains players not listed in the lines above.

Goalies:
Tristan Jarry, PIT – $8500
Ilya Sorokin, NYI – $7100

Defense:
Cale Makar, COL – $7400
Kris Letang, PIT – $5800
Devon Toews, COL – $5400
Neal Pionk, WPG – $5100
Josh Morrissey, WPG – $4900
Hampus Lindholm, BOS – $4600
Matt Grzelcyk,BOS – $4500
Andrew Peeke, CLB – $2800
Brian Dumoulin, PIT – $2700

Centers
Nathan MacKinnon, COL – $8600
Brock Nelson, NYI – $4600
Charlie Coyle, BOS – $3100

Wingers
Mikko Rantanen, COL – $7100
Anders Lee, NYI – $5900
Artturi Lehkonen, COL – $5200
Blake Wheeler, WPG – $4200
Ilya Mikheyev, VAN – $3500
Jakub Voracek, CLS – $3000