NFL Best Bets Week 12

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

YTD vs Spread 19-18-0 $200 starting budget

Current bankroll $270.54
Week 12 Bets (as of 3:30pm 11/20 on DK)
BUF -5.5 @ -110 $20
LV -3 @ -112 $20
NE -6.5 @ -110 $20
ATL +2 @ -115 $20
parlay ^ @ +1189 $7

Week 11 Bets
ARI +3 @ -115 $20 loss
HOU -6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
SEA +3 @ -115 $20 win +$17.39
parlay ^ @ +567 $9 loss