NFL Week 5 Best Bets

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

YTD vs Spread 8-5-0 $200 starting budget

Current bankroll $280.80
Week 5 Bets (as of 10:30am 10/1 on DK)
MIA ML @ -120 $20 
MIN -4.5 @ -105 $20 
NYJ +2.5 @ -108 $20 
NYG +2.5 @ -118 $20 
parlay ^ @ +1173 $6 

Week 4 Bets
NO +15.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
IND +3.5 @ -105 $20 loss
NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20 loss
GB -7 @ -105 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +1353 $6 loss

Week 3 Bets
MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
NYJ +7 @ -105 $20 win +$19.04
NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss
CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94
parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss

Week 2 Bets
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05
NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04

Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss