Best Bets NFL Week 3

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

YTD vs Spread 4-1-0 $200 budget

Starting bankroll $299.80
Week 3 Bets (as of 2pm 9/17 on DK)
MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20
NYJ +7 @ -105 $20
NE +1.5 @ -105 $20
CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20
parlay ^ @ +1256 $6

Week 2 Bets
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05
NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +18.52
parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +53.04

Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss