Week 10 Tipsy Picks
Extreme Values. Miracle dependent plays. One-off shots off the beaten path!
You’ll need a few beers or a stiff pour of bourbon to stomach these picks…
Going a different route this week. I am going to concentrate on just a guy or two for each position. Have real conviction in my craziness…
Tua Tagovailoa $5,600 vs LAC (3.3%)
The Chargers have given up 2.6 passing touchdowns a game the last 5 games. Everyone is in love with Herbert and rightfully so but if you want fireworks for him and Keenan Allen you need some action from the other side. I don’t care for the running game for Miami without Gaskins and am looking for a fair chunk of scrambling yards and 45+ pass attempts for Tua. Link him up with Gesicki and feel good about it.
Under Owned Favorites
Gio Bernard $5,400 vs PIT (<0.1%)
I get it, Pittsburgh is a very good run defense. I’m not too interested in Gio as a pure runner, and he certainly isn’t the spry young runner he once was. But here is the feeling; look around at the pricing around him. Henderson (splits with Akers and Brown), Gibson (splits with McKissic), Fournette (splits with Ronald Jones), Gordon (losing touches to Lindsey), Swift (2 other backs there)… I mean in that range I like a shot to pivot to a guy that will get 12-15 carries and 5-6 targets. If you try to get different at least do it with a guy with a defined role.
Troymaine Pope $4,000 @ MIA (probably 0%?)
This is it. This is how you get tipsy. No really, you aren’t here yet? Hit another shot of Tequila, forget the lime, straight up. Listen. The Chargers seem to hate Joshua Kelley. 2 games ago without Jackson, Pope got 10 carries and 7 targets for 5 catches and 95 total yards all while Kelley complemented him. He goes down with a concussion and it’s Kelley time right? NOPE! Kalen Ballage off the practice squad straight into the lead role with Kelley backing him up… Pope is cleared for this game and if you ask me it’s him leading the way again this week. Ok why is the room spinning…
Other Cost Saving Options:
*Leonard Fournette – Torched Carolina last time for 102 yards and 2 TDs
*Duke Johnson – David Johnson on the IR, the usage is way more than the salary
*JD McKissic – I think Smith likes the checkdown throws and there is plenty of room for both he and Gibson to thrash the Lions.
Rashard Higgins $4,600 vs HOU (0.7%)
He burned me in week 8 but I am ready to saddle up again. Houston is getting so absolutely smoked through the air that even 2 Jacksonville QBs combined for over 600 yards in the last 4 games. We don’t even need to mention that Rodgers and Tannehill put up 4 TDs each in between those games. OBJ is out and Chubb being active will force Houston to respect the run. Load up on a high value target that is insanely under owned.
Other Cost Saving Options:
Josh Reynolds – Prime targets in a high scoring game
Jalen Reagor – might get some sneaky punt return points
Danny Amendola – No Golladay and an aggressive defense will force quick passes
David Moore – Ramsey covers Lockett, Metcalf gets doubled….
Salary Saving TEs
Jacob Hollister- $2,600 7 targets last week… (see David Moore above)
Jordan Akins- $3,700 Cleveland can’t cover the TE. Akins is healthy and the better TE in HOU
Philly heading to NYG
Washington Heading to Det
If you wanna go low owned..
Rams $2,200 vs SEA The best Defense they have played this year. If you need to bottom out the Defense position I can endorse the Rams. They don’t need much to pay off $2.2k and it’s about time Russ has a dud…