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Tipsy Picks

Week 10 Tipsy Picks

Extreme Values. Miracle dependent plays. One-off shots off the beaten path! 

You’ll need a few beers or a stiff pour of bourbon to stomach these picks…

Going a different route this week. I am going to concentrate on just a guy or two for each position. Have real conviction in my craziness…

Tipsy QBs

Tua Tagovailoa $5,600 vs LAC (3.3%)

The Chargers have given up 2.6 passing touchdowns a game the last 5 games. Everyone is in love with Herbert and rightfully so but if you want fireworks for him and Keenan Allen you need some action from the other side. I don’t care for the running game for Miami without Gaskins and am looking for a fair chunk of scrambling yards and 45+ pass attempts for Tua. Link him up with Gesicki and feel good about it.

Under Owned Favorites

Deshaun Watson

Carson Wentz

Tipsy RBs

Gio Bernard $5,400 vs PIT (<0.1%)

I get it, Pittsburgh is a very good run defense. I’m not too interested in Gio as a pure runner, and he certainly isn’t the spry young runner he once was. But here is the feeling; look around at the pricing around him. Henderson (splits with Akers and Brown), Gibson (splits with McKissic), Fournette (splits with Ronald Jones), Gordon (losing touches to Lindsey), Swift (2 other backs there)… I mean in that range I like a shot to pivot to a guy that will get 12-15 carries and 5-6 targets. If you try to get different at least do it with a guy with a defined role.

Troymaine Pope $4,000 @ MIA (probably 0%?)

This is it. This is how you get tipsy. No really, you aren’t here yet? Hit another shot of Tequila, forget the lime, straight up. Listen. The Chargers seem to hate Joshua Kelley. 2 games ago without Jackson, Pope got 10 carries and 7 targets for 5 catches and 95 total yards all while Kelley complemented him. He goes down with a concussion and it’s Kelley time right? NOPE! Kalen Ballage off the practice squad straight into the lead role with Kelley backing him up… Pope is cleared for this game and if you ask me it’s him leading the way again this week. Ok why is the room spinning…

Other Cost Saving Options:

*Leonard Fournette – Torched Carolina last time for 102 yards and 2 TDs

*Duke Johnson – David Johnson on the IR, the usage is way more than the salary

*JD McKissic – I think Smith likes the checkdown throws and there is plenty of room for both he and Gibson to thrash the Lions.

Tipsy WRs

Rashard Higgins $4,600 vs HOU (0.7%)

He burned me in week 8 but I am ready to saddle up again. Houston is getting so absolutely smoked through the air that even 2 Jacksonville QBs combined for over 600 yards in the last 4 games. We don’t even need to mention that Rodgers and Tannehill put up 4 TDs each in between those games. OBJ is out and Chubb being active will force Houston to respect the run. Load up on a high value target that is insanely under owned.

Other Cost Saving Options:

Josh Reynolds – Prime targets in a high scoring game

Jalen Reagor – might get some sneaky punt return points

Danny Amendola – No Golladay and an aggressive defense will force quick passes

David Moore – Ramsey covers Lockett, Metcalf gets doubled….

Salary Saving TEs

Jacob Hollister- $2,600 7 targets last week… (see David Moore above)

Jordan Akins- $3,700 Cleveland can’t cover the TE. Akins is healthy and the better TE in HOU

Defense

Philly heading to NYG

Washington Heading to Det

If you wanna go low owned.. 

Rams $2,200 vs SEA The best Defense they have played this year. If you need to bottom out the Defense position I can endorse the Rams. They don’t need much to pay off $2.2k and it’s about time Russ has a dud…

Recent News

Bears Get Division Win Over Vikings 12-10 in an Abysmal Game
lackluster-bears-vikings-showdown-spoils-monday-night-football
(Nov 28 -- Sports Illustrated)

Joshua Dobbs: O'Connell considering QB change
Minnesota head coach Kevin O'Connell said the team will evaluate Dobbs' four-game performance at quarterback before naming a starter for Week 14 after a bye week, Ben Goessling of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
(Nov 28 -- Rotowire)

Schrock's Bears Report Card: Grading Justin Fields, offense, defense in win vs. Vikings
The Bears' defense aced their primetime test while Justin Fields and the offense took until winning time to earn a passing grade.
(Nov 28 -- Yahoo Sports)

Roschon Johnson sees huge uptick in usage
Though Week 12's showdown between the Bears and Vikings didn't provide much entertainment, it did shed some light on Chicago's backfield situation. Rookie RB Roschon Johnson ended Monday night with a season-high 75 scrimmage yards on 15 touches. He played on 74.6% of the team's snaps, including all 13 third-down situations. Before this contest, Johnson had never played on over 50% of the Bears' offensive snaps and had just two games with more than 10 touches. His teammate and typical starter Khalil Herbert took a back seat and only played on 15 snaps in the game, seeing 6 carries and 2 catches for a combined 38 yards. Is this a symptom of Herbert having not fully recovered from the ankle injury that kept him out for several games, or is this a changing of the guard? Who knows; that's merely speculative. Still, the results are still somewhat staggering. The Bears are set to go on bye this coming week, though fantasy managers in deeper leagues should entertain adding Johnson off the waiver wire if there's a bench spot to spare.
(Nov 28 -- Draft Sharks)

Questionable non-call of intentional grounding fueled Bears' final drive
It's one thing for officiating to be less-than-perfect.
(Nov 28 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

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