Chalk Board
DFS Ownership Pivots
Let’s look at some ownerships and possible pivots of the popular players this week using advanced simulation tools.
Source of my ownership and simulations to find pivot suggestions: https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger
Quarterbacks:Hayden Daniels locks in as the highest-owned option for the week, but hovering around 10% I don’t see any reason to pivot. No established running game, as of yet, should mean a heavy reliance on Daniels’ arm and legs. I’m in on Jayden.
Sneaky Pivot:
Purdy, with a perhaps limited CMC and a desire to prove his contract worth.
Tipsy Leverage:
Chalk value is on Lawrence and Daniel Jones, commanding more ownership than anyone besides Daniels and Burrow, and that will keep me off both for the most part. For a similar simulated point total and leverage by playing a nearly unowned option, you can play Justin Fields. He doesn’t inspire much confidence, but he is throwing to a stud and can get work done with his feet. Revenge game?
Running Backs:
Chalk is on Chase Brown and James Conner as plays over the higher-priced guys, with Achane and Taylor rounding out the guys that should fall around 15-22% owned. If you can fit Bijan in, even in a supposed bad matchup, you have to when he is down around 5% projected ownerships. I’m in on Jeanty who hyped himself into the first rounds in several drafts I was in, and his opening ownership is the lowest besides Breece Hall of any of the 6k and up players.
Sneaky Pivot:
Getting a piece of Kamara in a good spot while he’s fresh is something I can recommend and feel good about.
Tipsy Leverage:
Both TreVeyon Henderson and Tyrone Tracy Jr are value-priced and mostly overlooked.
Wide Receivers:
The top-owned guys are Egbuka, Chase, London, Thomas Jr, Tee Higgins, and Tet McMillin. I don’t dislike any of these plays, but trying not to get more than 1 or 2 in your lineup will separate your builds from ownership.
Big play pivots:
Nico is a stud. I have him projected just below Chase and Nacua in points and at under 5% projected ownership. We can pivot to Waddle off Hill, we can drop way off the chalk of Egbuka, and for a similar price, go with Ricky Pearsall. If you want to fade ownership completely, taking a shot on an Olave, Wilson, Metcalf, Kupp, or Ridley can really take your lineup in unique directions.
Tipsy Leverage:
Tillman in Cleveland could be a nice surprise at 4400. I don’t see the Bengals stopping anyone, and Flacco will sling it around if he has any left in the tank. Mega cheap options like Dont’e Thornton Jr, Tory Horton, or Ray-Ray can all help you pay up in other spots.
Tight Ends:
Only Njoku is heavily owned, and I am paying up for Kittle or down to Chig or Juwan Johnson. This is a position I’m looking for value in this week.
Defense:
Play who you can fit. I want to see how some units come out swinging before thinking too hard here.