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Thursday Night NFL Showdown – October 22

Let’s look at the Thursday Night NFL showdown!

 

NY Giants (44.0)

@

PHI Eagles (-3.5)

 

Don’t stress each individual player. Don’t make it that hard on yourself. Find your story on how the game will play out and apply that across the board. If you make sense of the game flow needed for the outcome you will believe will happen then all the players should neatly fall into line.

Both of these teams have 1 win. It is possible we get a 6-10 team into the playoffs from this garbage division. The Eagles were finally looking to get fully healthy with Alshon and D Jax looking to return by Thursday. That thought came to a halt with Miles Sanders now expected to miss a week or two and Ertz now out a month.

The Giants seem to now trust Freeman with a full workload but the Eagles are still fairly stout against the RB position. There just isn’t enough volume or consistency to trust any of the Giants WRs or TEs in seasonal or DFS, but that is the joy of PrizePicks, you can play the under on guys that just stink and profit!

This game has a very low total because they are just awful. I like the passing game of the Eagles to show some life without Sanders or Ertz and a full complement of WRs. Now the question will be whose turn is it? Fulgham has been solid for 3 straight weeks but will that be impacted with D Jax and Alshon returning? Can Boston Scott find more room than Sanders?

I tend to favor the Kickers in this game…

 

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The Breakdown

Daniel Jones (16) 225 1TD, 50 yards rushing and an INT

I just don’t see it. Divisional matchup on the road, completely inaccurate passing, little hope of a running game making it easier in the pocket. Short and sweet, I’m UNDER.

Carson Wentz (19) 275 2TD

That is above his average. Not only that, he hasn’t thrown for 275 yards yet this year and he has only thrown for even 250 twice. NY seems bad in public perception… and they are but they actually are only averaging giving up 235 yards a game through the air and only 2 have gone over 275. I really think this Eagles team is bad so I’m UNDER here as well.

Devonta Freeman (12) 50 Yards & TD with 1 catch for 10 yards

Hmm… this really seems possible. Like it’s the perfect line for Freeman. I’m probably looking elsewhere but, I kinda like the OVER here. Philly is kinda leaking yardage slowly to the running game and Freeman is more at home after a few weeks in the offense. Yeah. OVER.

Boston Scott (12) 60 Yards and 3 catches 30 yards

Giants have been fairly good against the run, but this is such a low number. I think with the WR strength coming back for Philly they won’t need the dump-off passes that could accumulate for Scott. This is another one to probably avoid but If I am being forced to pick I say UNDER.

Darius Slayton (12.5) 6 catches 65 yards

This is more than he is averaging in both catches and yards so you are hoping for a score. The news hasn’t broken yet whether Sterling Shepard will come off IR in time for the game. So if you are locking in this prop now, I go UNDER. If Sterling returns I see this line getting adjusted down. If it dips to 9.5-10 you can consider over.

Travis Fulgham (13) 6 catches 65 yards

If he sees the same amount of action as he has over the past 2.5 games he is looking like a strong case for the over. I think this line moves down when news of D Jax and Alshon gets solidified. If locking in now I go UNDER. IF it appears the other 2 aren’t coming back you can go OVER in the coming days.

Evan Engram (9) 4 catches 50 yards

He’s only hit these numbers 2 times this year but I am confident this is the week! The Eagles have been shredded for catches, yards and immense TDs by opposing Tight Ends this year and I am feeling the TD for Engram. OVER

Richard Rodgers (7) 4 catches 30 yards

The Giants have been pretty solid against the TE but Philly loves to target theirs. I haven’t seen enough of Rodgers to know his skill set, but feeling pretty confident in the UNDER if D Jax or Alshon are back.

Golden Tate (9) 5 catches 40 yards

This is a spot Tate could take advantage of if Shepard is back. If he works the middle with Engram there is room to exploit the Philly D. I’m probably avoiding this spot though, and though I see a path to a decent game, the first 6 weeks of the year say to take the UNDER.

Greg Ward (9.5) 4 catches 55 yards

Ward is the big loser in my book if the 2 other WRs get back on the field this week. I don’t like the matchup or usage and at 9.5 I take that UNDER. Lock it in quick before the line changes or he’s removed altogether from the slate with the return of Jackson or Jeffrey.

As always I don’t really play kickers. I lean OVER on both and I don’t do IDP so if you want to play defensive players there are all kinds of great IDP info out there for you to find.

Good Luck!!!

-Jonny Danger

 

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