NFL DFS: Sunday Night Football Showdown Week 13

Spread: DAL -10.5
O/U: 44.5

Tonight we have what looks like a lopsided matchup on Sunday Night Football, with Indy heading to Dallas. I don’t think this will be a total blowout, but Dallas should be able to handle Matt Ryan and the  Indy passing game.  Once Dallas gets a lead I expect a heavy dose of Zeke and Pollard. 

Captain/MVP Picks

Tony Pollard, RB – Dallas

As I mentioned in the onto I believe Dallas will get a lead and then run to kill the clock.  There is pretty much a 50/50 split in touches between Pollard and Elliot, but I prefer Pollard because of his catching ability. 

FLEX Picks

Dak Prescott, QB – Dallas

Dallas likes to start out passing and in order to grab a quick lead so the running game can take over, Dak will have to drive them down the field. Dak has looked good the past few games and I expect him to put in another solid performance here.

Dallas D/ST

The Colts’ offense is among the worst in football and moves the ball primarily through their running game and Jonathan Taylor. While Dallas can be run on, I anticipate them building a lead against the Colts’ defense and forcing Matt Ryan to throw the ball. That spells bad news for Indy, as Dallas sits atop all NFL teams in pass DVOA, as well as leading the NFL in sacks.

Dalton Schultz – TE, Dallas

Schultz has the best matchup of any of the Dallas receivers tonight against Bobby Okereke. He hasn’t been great this year but he has been solid and the strength of the Colts Defense is against wideouts.

Value Pick

Paris Campbell – WR, Indianapolis

Matt Ryan will have to throw a lot tonight and he will have to get the ball out quickly, which is Campbell’s specialty.  Also, his matchup against DaRon Bland is the best among all Colts receivers tonight.