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NFL best Bets Week 11

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

22-7-1 Against the Spread

Week 11 Starting Bankroll $366.32
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10
^parlay +602 @ $10

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Jourdan Lewis: I can't blame Amani Oruwariye for trying to make a play
The first play after the two-minute warning in the fourth quarter on Monday night sent the Cowboys on a roller coaster of emotions.
(Dec 10 -- Yahoo Sports)

Bills confident defense is up to the challenge of facing Lions
The Bills defense had a rough time of it against the Rams on Sunday and things aren't going to get any easier for the unit in Week 15.
(Dec 10 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Burrow 'confident' Bengals can re-sign Higgins
Joe Burrow said he believes Cincinnati will find a way to keep Tee Higgins around and that he's willing to get personally involved.
(Dec 10 -- ESPN)

John Harbaugh: Justin Tucker in "great place" after bye week
The Ravens had a bye in Week 14, but one slumping member of the team didn't get too far away from work during the week off.
(Dec 10 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

NFL Playoff Picture 2024: Updated AFC and NFC Standings, bracket, tiebreakers for Week 15
The Bills and Chiefs have clinched their divisions, the Lions and Eagles have clinched playoff berths, and 10 more playoff spots are up for grabs.
(Dec 10 -- Yahoo Sports)

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