NFL DFS Week 1 First Look
Welcome back! The NFL season is officially here, and we’re excited to dive into more DFS content this year. Starting this week, you can look forward to daily articles covering various positions, with a primary focus on the Main Slate. Our articles will be concise yet packed with essential information to help you craft winning DFS lineups.
Article Release Schedule
Tuesday – First Look
Wednesday – Quarterbacks and Running Backs
Thursday – Thursday Night Showdown
Friday – Wide receiver and Tight Ends
Saturday – Cash Game Suggestions
Sunday – Sunday Night Football Showdown
Monday – Monday Night Football Showdown
All odds and fantasy points will be based on DraftKings and DK Sportsbook
With that out of the way, let’s look at the games for Week 1.
Teams to Target
Most of the Week 1 games are projected to be low-scoring, with most expected to have total points in the 41-42 range. Only three games are forecasted to exceed 48 total points.
Jacksonville (+3) at Miami (-3)
O/U 49
Houston (-2.5) at Indianapolis (+2.5)
O/U 48.5
Arizona (+6) at Buffalo (-6)
O/U 48
Top Implied Team Totals
Bills – 27
Dolphins – 26
Texans – 25.5
Bengals – 25
Bears – 24.25
Jacksonville – 23
With Miami, Tyreek Hill has double-digit targets every opening week of a season and 2 of 3 Week 1’s he scored 40+ Fantasy Points. Buffalo is interesting as the team with the highest implied total. They have overhauled their wide receivers and we just don’t know how the passing game will work. But (spoiler) the running game is in a great spot. I love the Bengals this week. They will have a chip on their shoulder after a disastrous 2023 season and face possibly the worst team in the league, the Patriots.
Rushing Matchups
Buffalo vs. Arizona (Ranked 32 against the run)
Denver vs. Seattle (Ranked 31)
Week 1 is always tough to project, simply because we do not know exactly how teams will improve. For now, we rely on last year’s stats. Arizona and Seattle were at the bottom of the league last year in yards allowed rushing. With Josh Allen and James Cook, I love the Bills rushing game this week. Denver will also prefer to run, protecting their rookie QB.
Passing Matchups
Tampa Bay vs. Washington (32)
Miami vs. Jacksonville (26)
Tampa Bay and Miami are pass-first offenses, facing off against Washington and Jacksonville, who both ranked at the bottom of the league in pass defense. Miami always starts the season hot and Tyreek is usually the recipient.
That’s it for this week. Articles will get more detailed as the season moves along and we have current stats.
