NFL DFS: Sunday Night Football – Steelers at Dolphins

The Line: Miami -7.5 | O/U 44.5

My game script is Miami passing all over the Steelers and taking the lead early, forcing Pittsburgh to pass a lot.

Captain/MVP Picks

Tua Tagovailoa – QB, $16,500 (DK), $15,500 (FD)

Tua is back after a very scary injury several weeks ago.  Pittsburgh’s defense is a passing funnel and I expect Tua to take advantage. I also like him as the DK Captan since he is not the most expensive player on the board.

Also Consider: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle

FLEX Picks

Tyreek Hill – WR, $11,200 (DK), $16,000 (FD)

I expect Miami’s passing game to explode tonight. I lean towards Tyreek Hill because Jaylen Waddle has a lingering injury, but both are viable Flex plays.

Kenny Pickett – QB, $9,200 (DK), $14,500 (FD)

I am 50/50 on this.  I expect the Steelers to be behind, therefore a high volume of passing plays.  But Pickett is also prone to mistakes and turnovers.  Ultimately I decided the volume with outweigh the mistakes and I will roll with him.  Feel free to swap in another player that fits your build.

George Pickens – WR, $6,400 (DK), $8,500 (FD)

Having Kenny Pickett back at QB is good news for Pickens as they clearly have a connection.  He ranks fifth in average target depth and is likely to have a big play for a TD, easily covering his cost.

Also Consider: Raheem Mosert, Jaylen Waddle

Value Picks

Miami Dolphins – D/ST, $4,000 (DK), $9,000 (FD)

Miami’s defense is not great this year, but they are facing a turn-over-prone Rookie who is going to have to throw the ball a lot tonight. There is a very good chance they hold the Steelers under 20 points and get a turnover or two.

Pat Freiermuth – TE, $5,000 (DK), $8,000 (FD)

Freiermuth is seeing more than six targets a game and a 33% red zone target rate. He is dirt cheap on both sites, and Pittsburgh will have to throw the ball to keep up.