The Chalk Board | DFS Ownership Pivots
Moving off the chalk has always been a guide to success in DFS. Let’s explore what the simulation and projected ownership say about where we can pivot from the public and gain an edge on the field.
Quarterbacks
DraftKings – Jayden Daniels is running away with it in ownership. Maybe slightly boosted because of the Q on Brian Robinson but the Panthers are so bad you can play ’em all. I will have Daniels and eat that chalk all day. Looking down the line Cousins, Geno, and Darnold get the rest of the exposure letting a bunch of other great options in under 10% owned. I’m interested in Purdy, Stroud, and Love outside of chalk. Minnesota D has been good, off a buy, at home, Detroit missing Hutch… Darnold to Jefferson all day. Still on my Danny Dimes BS too.
Fanduel – Hurts gives me a touch of extra love here as the Barkley revenge narrative might be over blown.
Running Backs
DraftKings – Chalk is hard to avoid as a couple of my favorite plays will be popular with everyone. Chuba, Pollard are near locks for me. Bijan I think can be pivoted from and Kenneth Walker felt under owned early but has snuck into the #2 spot in projected ownership and I am moving my shares of that game over to DK Metcalf. Kyren I love but his ownership combined with being over 8k seems like an easy pivot and all optimizers seem to love Aaron Jones but even without Hutch I am avoiding RB against the Lions. Brian Robinson is a lock if he gets 100% clearance. I really like ownership pivots to Mixon up top, Ekeler if BRob is out and Hunt in the late game being ignored when the Niners can be beat by quick drops to runners out of the backfield.
Fanduel – Mixon pops even more as a pivot at Fanduel and Achane is just so cheap you have to put him in.
Wide Receivers
Draftkings – Pivot up time as AJ Brown shreds the kind of defense he will see in New York, Nabers will not be high enough owned and give me either Cinci WR to round out my guys up top. Chalk is fine on Jefferson who has a history of killing Detroit. JuJu, London, Terry all way up there in ownership but you are going to find them in my lineups this week while we can save money on a bunch of guys like Noah Brown, DJ Turner, Tre Tucker.
Fanduel – Very similar as above but let’s give a shout out to any piece you want to try from Carolina as we get two face paced teams in a blow out special. Johnson if he plays, Legette, shoot even Sanders or Coker if you want to get a little cute and spend up elsewhere.
Tight Ends
I like exactly 3 guys unless you are pairing with QB or game stacks and those are Bowers, Kittle, and Ertz. Don’t think too hard here. Ertz has elite TE Usage but just hasn’t had that TD game yet… could be this week.
DefensesI am pretty much locked in on the Giants as I like to pay down.